[–] grey-area 7 hours ago
[–] IvanK_net 7 hours ago
[–] grey-area 7 hours ago
But if you want to believe otherwise that's up to you (or perhaps you just hope it could be otherwise?). If you prefer, you can read that sentence as 'How refreshing to read intelligent, coherent thoughts in a blog post instead of the garbage we so often see nowadays.'
The sentiment is the same, it's about quality and intelligent thought, not style or provenance. Maybe one day we'll have to say intelligence rather than human, which is a fun thought. I don't feel we're close to that yet though.
[–] evdubs 5 hours ago
[–] sdenton4 9 hours ago
I had a conversation about this very problem last November, with a visiting mathematician. It's essentially signaling a deflationary spiral in intellectual work: why bother doing the work now, when it will take half as much effort a year from now?
This is perhaps always a possible stance, but it's exacerbated when some proportion of your own agency is handed over to, well, agents.
[–] stabbles 8 hours ago
[–] augment_me 8 hours ago
I think it says more about what the value of math as intellectual work is, than about intellectual work in general.
Like if an Egyptian historian would come and say "let's wait one year until the methods are good enough to decrypt this language", no one would be bothered or surprised.
[–] Loquebantur 6 hours ago
You even imply, economic value was determined correctly in advance for arbitrarily long future intervals. And the applicability was known in advance to begin with.
Obviously, you're completely wrong.
Applying simplistic models to real life incurs a penalty. The affected scale multiplies with that penalty. When dealing with things affecting humanity as a whole, that makes careless over-generalizations a serious hazard.
[–] doc_ick 7 hours ago
I would like to disagree with you on that point. Given the very popular rise of https://rea.tools/, it appears the time to reverse engineer anything software based (up to maybe 80% or more?) could be down to minutes. With a recent example, some indie video game developers are not going to show off their video game until release as a few have been flipped and made it to market before the original developers have. Point being, a few moths of market ownership could be possible if llms can’t reverse it in any way.
[–] FeteCommuniste 6 hours ago
[–] ignoramous 7 hours ago
[–] doc_ick 5 hours ago
[–] hn_throwaway_99 8 hours ago
A perhaps more relevant personal anecdote: About a year ago I told a non-technical friend that I'd help him migrate his small business website that was originally set up in WordPress (by a developer who is since long gone) to a format that would be much easier for him to manage with no dev support. I planned to move him over to one of the usual suspects like Wix or Squarespace, but this is one instance where my procrastination was a virtue. In the ~9 months since he originally had an issue with his site, AI capabilities had exploded. Turned out it was a lot easier (and cheaper) to use Claude to fully migrate his site and get it up on Cloudflare workers, and I set up everything so he could manage all the content himself. Plus, it took me less than a day to do the migration off WordPress, and most of that time was just me wanting to learn the ins and outs of Claude Code because I was new to it at the time.
[–] RealityVoid 8 hours ago
[–] amelius 7 hours ago
[–] bananaflag 7 hours ago
In 1-2 years the AI will give an instant answer to most conjectures anyway.
[–] Loquebantur 6 hours ago
[–] FeteCommuniste 6 hours ago
[–] cluckindan 6 hours ago
[–] latentsea 4 hours ago
Hmm, so is the way to train this to take all the long complicated proofs it generates in Lean and then use autoresearch to minimize the length of the proof?
My priors have been so thoroughly updated by all the recent progress in AI that it really seems like there isn't anything that fundamentally cannot be learnt. So, is this how we train this kind of taste?
I'm not a mathematician, nor an AI engineer/researcher. Just watching from the sidelines and spitballing ideas.
What a time to be alive?
[–] dnnehgf 2 hours ago
[–] brudgers 2 days ago
Lex Fridman recent podcast on the AI crisis in math, https://youtu.be/ZAzWPE9CItg
[–] kzrdude 9 hours ago
[–] timbaboon 9 hours ago
[–] an0malous 9 hours ago
[–] Jtarii 8 hours ago
I think they would have employ just about every mathematician on earth for that to make sense.
[–] nextaccountic 8 hours ago
[–] Jtarii 7 hours ago
[–] bgandrew1 8 hours ago
[–] wyre 7 hours ago
OAI is not simply prompting "Prove exponential time hypothesis false. Make no mistakes" for the same reasons you can't one-shot "Write a fully standards compliant internet browser from scratch"
[–] jonlong 6 hours ago
Levent Alpöge's prompting that did solve this open problem does not appear to be public, but Aaron Lou at OpenAI succeeded in reproducing the result the next day using an internal version of Codex and (reportedly) without web search, and he shared his prompt at https://aaronlou.com/jacobian_counterexample_prompt.pdf. It is a mathematically-sophisticated statement of the problem and of general search strategies, but contains no concrete ideas for the solution whatsoever (even the idea to look for a counterexample instead of a proof).
Aaron reported that this 2-page prompt found a counterexample in one shot. (https://x.com/aaron_lou/status/2079222629794189515)
[–] springtail5 3 days ago
[–] XTXinverseXTY 8 hours ago
[–] rekcuts 7 hours ago
[–] latentsea 4 hours ago
[–] lsvg 8 hours ago
I wonder how we as a society will react to this, this crisis of meaning. Not to get into existential crisis if that is to happen as well, which of course is a whole other issue.
I assume we will all start to look for social ways of mourning with colleagues.
[–] idontknowmann 9 hours ago
Useless toys, sometimes useful toys, ok good toys, ok.. we might have to look at this more carefully, oh god.
This loop however is quite tiring to watch happen over and over again. Is there really nothing we can do but just watch from the sidelines and watch our fellow men engage in their particular grief and copium filled mourning cycle?
[–] hackinthebochs 6 hours ago
[–] noduerme 55 minutes ago
No, I'm probably just going to say fuck 'em all, I feel sorry for everyone. Go to a bar and drink while the world burns.
There's nothing to do about it.
[–] hackinthebochs 41 minutes ago
[–] latentsea 4 hours ago
[–] kypro 5 hours ago
This is so relatable.
I've always been very self-motivated and keen to dig deep into things and create difficult stuff, but these days I just see no point learning or doing anything...
Everything that used to give my life colour seems completely pointless now...
Learning new algorithms, creating open source projects, writing music, writing about tech, etc.
I know people say that it's great and now we all get to spend more time going for walks and watching TV, but it all feel kinda empty honestly. My fun was always doing difficult stuff and feeling that joy of working it out or giving the world something cool. But now, for the first time, I feel I have nothing to offer anyone.
[–] thefourthchime 9 hours ago
I responded with, "Well, you don't even need it to do math. It can explain the concept." They scoffed again. "Those things are useless toys"
[–] georgemcbay 9 hours ago
2 years ago LLMs were a great tech demo but were mostly awful for actual practical purposes and hallucinated almost as much as they got right.
They'd be wrong today, but that's a different thing.
[–] preommr 8 hours ago
[–] skew-aberration 7 hours ago
I was taken aback by the progress in 2025/2026 because late 2024 did seem to be a plateau, but 5-10 years seemed inevitable.
Even when I first studied automated theorem provers in around 2013, the 10-20 years to automating proofs (not theory building) seemed inevitable. They were already superhumanly fast and generating real results, and neural networks were making massive progress on translation, image processing, and games. Someone just had to work out how to stick a neural net inside an ATP. The surprise was that it happened the other way around, and that it solved even more than just mathematical proofs.
AI has only just begun to expose the depth of willful human ignorance.
[–] bananaflag 7 hours ago
Why? o1 was released in late 2024
[–] skew-aberration 5 hours ago
[–] georgemcbay 7 hours ago
I honestly don't see how this has anything to do with my reply to the original comment.
Even if you were absolutely sure LLMs were going to get as good as they are today 2 years ago, that didn't make them any more of a practical solution to the issues you were trying to solve 2 years ago.
It is likely that the SpaceX Starship will eventually be a reliable rocket platform. That doesn't mean that given the chance I would hop on the next flight.
The problem is it doesn’t make any goddamned sense.
I'd probably insert a 'sometimes' in there, because many times in small doses it does make sense, it's only when you ask for long form writing/work that it becomes apparent there is no coordinating intelligence there.
Interesting just how much of this advice applies to programming as well as to maths:
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Skills, agent.md and harnesses are probably a dead-end that will die off as the tools become more capable.
LLMs are not good at reducing complexity, however they're very good at adding it, and sometimes it is just unnecessary and he can find ways to cut it by interrogating the LLM.
Some people are responding to the new reality by gleefully using AI to generate lots of semi-OK-ish papers and puking them up on arXiv [this is like people producing mediocre one-shot clones of software].
On the other hand—with creative writing, my advice is not to use AI to write, at all. Ask questions if you want, but write every damned word yourself.
--
Definitely worth a read for the programmers here too.