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points by nkmnz 3 days ago | 0 comments
I would guess that this is taken into account based on satellite data. Solar must have a direct line of sight to the sun, so it should be fairly easy to detect from the sky.
[–] jcattle 3 days ago
Kind of. Free satellite data starts at 10m resolution per pixel. You will not get a clear signal on small rooftop solar. Same for balcony solar or other near perpendicular installations.

At 10m the only thing you can reliably detect is large scale deployments. If you want to do better than that you need paid data which is prohibitively expensive at large scales.

[–] nkmnz 2 days ago
Current or most recent data is very expensive, indeed, but researchers as well as governments should have access to data that allows them to measure the rates of change across time and extrapolate them, no?
[–] jcattle 2 days ago
Not really in developing countries which the OP is talking about.

While most developed countries have aerial imaging campaigns on some recurrent schedule (NAIP in the US is on a rolling 3-year cycle), this is usually not the case in developing countries.

Quite a few never had any large scale aerial imaging campaigns and most do not have them on regular schedules.

[–] nkmnz 2 days ago
Thanks for explaining!
[–] isaachh 2 days ago
You can do it quite reliably from aerial imagery at ~7cm resolution or so. For urban areas (if you have access to the data) you can pull out the type of panel and its size and get a reasonably good estimate on power output.

Also doable maybe a bit less reliably with high res satellite (30cm res).

Depending on how remote the area the data can be a bit out of date (years even)

[–] sandworm101 2 days ago
>> Solar must have a direct line of sight to the sun

A popular misconception. Solar panels can generate significant power during overcast clouds (~15% of rated capacity). I have seen panels generate power in overcast conditions when they would otherwise lack any direct line to the sun (high latitude, winter, forest/mountains).

[–] ngruhn 3 days ago
can't you just track solar panel sales?
[–] SideburnsOfDoom 2 days ago
Pretty much, yes.

e.g. "Across the Caribbean, people have installed roughly twice as many solar panels as official statistics would suggest. ... China ... has exported far more panels to the Caribbean than have officially been installed."

https://www.yahoo.com/news/science/articles/caribbean-nation...

[–] nkmnz 2 days ago
In some countries, but not in others. Also, panels sold ≠ panels installed (as I can confirm by looking into my own garage...)
[–] m0llusk 2 days ago
That is false. Temperature moderation is an important issue and in hot locations solar efficiency may be maximized when trees provide partial shade.