One million software developers will lose their jobs in the US over the next ten years.
The big firing waves will begin when valuations decline as the initial AI boom slows. That has started already, although it's early. Companies like CoreWeave will basically collapse. Investors will demand & reward the layoffs, efficiency push, the end of rah rah times will prompt the inflection on employment in tech. And it'll never be like it was ever again.
[–] malfist 2 days ago
[–] adventured 1 day ago
HN is in denial. Just watch what happens over the next ~36 months.
[–] watwut 1 day ago
In all likelihood, massive worldwide recession due to combination of oil issues and debt-ai bubble popping. That will be combined with instability due to democracies cracking up, wars popping up faster and faster all the while the richest and most powerful people are increasingly desperate to destroy democracies before it is too late for them.
[–] vanuatu 2 days ago
software is easier to build -> the world builds more software
But yes, the act of translating spec into code as a 'programmer' is gone for good.
For 1 million software engineers in the US to lose their job you'd have to shrink the industry by 62.5% and nobody is doing that. We employ more software engineers this year than last year, which was higher than the year before which was higher than a year before. Get off the social media and look at real statistics and news.
This gleeful nihilism isn't health friend