points by zmgsabst 1 day ago | 0 comments
This is where Bayes bites in practice: we can know that impatient and long-minded behaviors are correlated to outcomes, ie p(quit | impatient), without the outcome meaningfully informing which case we have, ie p(impatient | quit).
That’s because people are complicated and do things for many reasons, so people quitting when we cut their pay might not tell us they’re impatient.
I suspect the intent is what you say, but I don’t think the outcome is.
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