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points by 1718627440 16 hours ago | 0 comments
I said nothing about "throwing up out hands", this is a current research topic. But you can hardly blame the workers for not using a system, the researchers haven't invented yet.

> If we can design self-driving cars

We can not design self-driving cars to the safety standard that is required for railways. They are way less safe than the current half-manual system for railways. What you suggest is using less automatic safety systems than what we currently do.

[–] knottn 15 hours ago
Has there ever been a case where two self driving cars collide with each other? I hate to be part of the peanut gallery, but as a totally naive person when it comes to railway safety research it really does seem amazing train collisions can’t be easily prevented with gps, lasers, sonar or various other trivial ways. Even the crash in question seems like it might have been easily prevented by having a second human in the loop. Maybe I and others just suspect the difficulty isn’t so much technological as it is financial.
[–] Fargren 10 hours ago
> Has there ever been a case where two self driving cars collide with each other?

I don't think that's relevant to trains. Cars can avoid a collision much more easily than trains can. Cars can swerve, and if they are at a distance at which line of sight tells them they will hit an obstacle, they are moving slow enough to stop before hitting that obstacle. Trains have to stay on tracks, and they need up to 4 kilometers to stop moving.

The constraints are very different, so the solutions and tradeoffs will be different too.

[–] 1718627440 15 hours ago
As far as I am aware, there has been no non-supervised train in a general train network. (They exist in closed systems.) However whether the train is self-driving is really not the issue here. In current railway safety systems (even from the 80s) a crash is about the same probability as random bitflips. However reality is too messy, so that the availability is not satisfactory enough to not use a human fallback, and then you are back to the assisted human error rate.

Current operation of a train is basically self-driving and supervising driver. So if you suggest "just use self-driving", you make the system less safe, not more, because it means just getting rid of the human supervisor. This is not currently done, because it would be too insecure. It might be done in the future, but rather because less safety is going to be accepted in favor for getting rid of the costly human.

A self-driving train will happily cause a crash, if the target is "drive with high-speed in that segment currently occupied by another train". The issue is that that becomes a target, not that there is a human in the loop.

[–] IAmBroom 8 hours ago
> A self-driving train will happily cause a crash, if the target is "drive with high-speed in that segment currently occupied by another train".

Sure, if you allow trains to ignore safety completely, then accidents will occur. That is a ridiculous statement.

[–] 1718627440 7 hours ago
Yes, if the dispatcher issues faulty movement authorities, it's futile to look for the error in the train. That was my point.
[–] wewtyflakes 8 hours ago
Why is it that these fatal train accidents have happened multiple times in Spain, but never in Japan, even though Japan has been doing it high speed rail longer, and at 10x the passenger volume than Spain? Do they have some alien safety technology unavailable to Spain?
[–] 1718627440 7 hours ago
The were several other train accidents, where it was found out, that the drivers have made races, who can stay above the speed limit longer. But I think that was already in the 90s. There is/was definitely something at fault with the safety culture.

But there was a recent incident in Germany as well (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Burgrain_train_derailment), which is somewhat similar to the earlier accident in Spain this year. Targeting high value projects, while not paying for proper maintenance is not something that only happens in a single country.

[–] wewtyflakes 6 hours ago
Yes, you can say that high-speed rail crashes are not limited to one country (though Spain has had multiple this year alone), but you can't say that it has ever happened in Japan. So for you to argue up and down this thread that everyone calling out issues with Spanish high speed rail safety is wrong, as if it is some sort of intractable problem, is bananas.
[–] 1718627440 6 hours ago
I have not stated anything that is specific to Spain in this thread? I do think there is something wrong with the safety culture in Spain, I mean obviously, there was an accident.

> but you can't say that it has ever happened in Japan.

That sounds very unlikely to me, and in fact Wikipedia indicates otherwise: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shigaraki_train_disaster

[–] wewtyflakes 5 hours ago
That is not a high-speed rail line... so, no?
[–] 1718627440 5 hours ago
Ok, so railway safety for me doesn't stop at the end of high-speed lines. But, maybe Japan does indeed clear the measure you suggested, so congratulations to Japan, I guess?
[–] wewtyflakes 4 hours ago
Yup, so it seems that high-speed rail safety is not an unsolved problem. Wonder what the lessons are? Hmm...
[–] eldaisfish 7 hours ago
indeed. Japan is a compliance and shame based society. that alone is the foundation of a very strong safety culture, something that southern europe is famous for lacking.
[–] 1718627440 7 hours ago
> that alone is the foundation of a very strong safety culture

It's a mixed bag. That can also cause safety violations, they were suicidal incidents, because punctuality is placed over safety, in Japan. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amagasaki_derailment

[–] naranjito 3 hours ago
The train to control center calls leaked, and they not sound like aircontrol talk we have heard latelly, more like "meh, paperwork". People! You are handling multi-ton things capable of going faster than 300 Km/h.

Japan railway crew have stricter procedures when they are alone: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pointing_and_calling

[–] IAmBroom 8 hours ago
> We can not design self-driving cars to the safety standard that is required for railways.

That is completely false. PTC does that, and we've had it for several decades. There are several self-driving cars operating in the world right now. I have never heard of a PTC system causing accidents; those occur in places where the system isn't required (like entering Grand Central).

You keep pretending that avoiding train collisions is too magical to achieve with current tech, but train traffic is easy to limit (but slightly harder to optimize), and systems exist to do that, because rail is unique amongst all forms of travel: if you drop speed to zero for any trains at risk of collision, they are safe. Planes will plummet; most cars are human-operated and you can get rear-ended, etc.

[–] 1718627440 7 hours ago
> That is completely false. PTC does that, and we've had it for several decades.

And they somehow work with radar, lidar and GPS from inside the train? No they work with classical block based systems and on signalboxes. So all the safety systems are outside of a train.

> You keep pretending that avoiding train collisions is too magical to achieve with current tech

Huh?? Railway interlocking exists for more than a century. It's very safe and I didn't wrote anything contradicting that.